Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers 12-25-23

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FREE PICK Baltimore +5.5

Courtesy Marc Lawrence

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NFL  12/25  8:20 PM  Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers

 PICK: Baltimore Ravens 5.5

Play On: Baltimore Ravens (Game 481).

> Edges for the Ravens:

• 8-0-1 ATS as a non-division dog versus foe with at least one loss

• 5-0-1 ATS as a Monday Night dog

• QB Lamar Jackson is 18-1 SU in his career versus NFC opponents, including 16-0 against sub .800 opponents; and 6-0 SUATS as either a dog or a favorite of 6 or fewer points; and 3-0 SUATS versus NFC foes

• Jackson is 12-2-1 ATS when not favored, including 7-0-1 ATS versus sub .800 opponents

• Head coach John Harbaugh is 56-32-5 ATS as a dog in his NFL career, including 9-0-1 ATS away from Game Eleven out during the regular season

• Harbaugh is 7-0-1 ATS away as a dog during the regular season versus greater than .666 foes from Game Eleven out 

> Edges against the 49ers:

• 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS at home after scoring 42-plus points previous game with Shanahan

• Shanahan 1-3 SUATS as a favorite of 3 or more points versus AFC North opponents

• Shanahan 1-3 SUATS as a home favorite of fewer than 7 points versus a foe coming off a win of 16 or more points

> Conclusion: We seal the deal with this from our Well Oiled Machine as it notes that NFL teams on a 6-win-exact streak that scored 45 or more points in their last game are 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS against non-division foes since 1980. The Ravens the No. 1 team in the NFL in Rush Attempts Per Game with 34; No. 1 in Rushing Yards Per Game with 163.8 (22.9 more than the No. 2 Lion); and the No. 1 team in Points Allowed Per Game at 16.1. The 49ers can lose this game and will still retain the No. 1 seed in the NFC Playoff Picture. On the flip side, the Ravens need a win to retain its top seed in the AFC Playoff Picture, all of which makes them a live dog in this contest. With that, we recommend a strong 10* play on Baltimore as our NFL Game of the Year. We wish you the best of luck and thank you for your continuing support.

**Selection ratings:

1* free play,

2* quality opinion play,

3* top quality selection,

4* top quality strong selection,

5* top quality exceptional selection,

10* top quality highest rated selection.

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